DATE OF UPLOAD: June 15, 1989 ORIGIN OF UPLOAD: ParaNet Omega, Australian Bureau CONTRIBUT
DATE OF UPLOAD: June 15, 1989
ORIGIN OF UPLOAD: ParaNet Omega, Australian Bureau
CONTRIBUTED BY: Bob Fletcher
(C) Copyright 1989 ParaNet Information Service
All Rights Reserved.
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MISIDENTIFICATION OF UFO'S
When considering the possibility of misidentification, it should be
remembered that if no normal explanation can be found it may be because
none is apparent and act because none exists. However, I believe that the
higher the strangeness of a report the less likely it is that a normal
explanation exists (i.e. if there is no suspicion of a hoax or
hallucination). On the other hand, if the UFO phenomenon exists as it
appears to, then it must be normal to certain conditions but rarely
(compared to other phenomena), though repeatedly, witnessed.
On the possibility of a hoax I take the line of 'innocent until proven
guilty', bearing in mind that any degree of suspicion of a hoax will
correspondingly reduce the weight of the report.
If at the end of it all the object remains unidentified, the credibility of
the report has to be decided upon; whether the witness s accurate not only
in estimation of size etc., but also in the content of account. Does it
ring true? (whether or not the witness believes, it since he/she may find
it too much to accept). Before we can decide upon this perhaps we should
draw a line of credibility, beyond which anything will be too incredible to
consider seriously as a real event. But how can we decide where this line
of credibility should be drawn when we should know by now that the
'absurdities' of yesterday are often accepted as, and interwoven with, the
'facts' of today? For this reason I prefer not to draw such a line, but
to consider each case on it's own, and then within the context of the UFO
phenomenon as I understand it to be.
In any case, UFO reports of high strangeness will obviously contain more
information than, say, a light in the sky, and so to get to this
information it is necessary to consider the case worthy of investigation.
This means that even before investigation any line of credibility must be
drawn high, or not at all.
These are some of my own views on the investigation of UFO's, but if these
UFO's are really craft with occupants from...wherever, then it is my belief
that no matter how much investigation is carried out we can only learn as
much as we are allowed to learn, or less.
Some people believe that the UFO's will show themselves fully - eventually.
If this is the case perhaps the rising number of UFO reports indicates that
this may occur in the not too distant future.
E-Mail Fredric L. Rice / The Skeptic Tank