GREAT MYTHS OF EVOLUTION #8 by David N. Menton (C) copyright 1991 Missouri Association for
GREAT MYTHS OF EVOLUTION #8
by David N. Menton
(C) copyright 1991 Missouri Association for Creation, Inc.
GIVEN ENOUGH TIME ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE  EVEN EVOLUTION
This myth is the ultimate argument of those who attempt to "explain" the
origin of the Cosmos and all life by CHANCE and the natural properties
of matter and energy. Evolutionists hope that by invoking immense
amounts of time, highly improbable events can somehow be made probable.
But with this type of argument it is possible to "explain" ANYTHING.
We've all heard it said, for example, that "given enough monkeys and
enough typewriters, EVENTUALLY one of them is bound to type the sonnets
of Shakespeare error free." But this outrageous myth violates the
statistical foundation on which all modern science rests. Statistically
controlled experiments are useless if we do not assume that highly
improbable events simply do not occur. The probability of any event
which has a known number of possible outcomes can be calculated quite
easily. The probability of rolling a particular number on a die, for
example, is one chance out of six (the total number of possible sides)
or 1/6. The probability of getting TWO particular numbers on two
successive rolls of the die is 1/6 x 1/6 or 1/36, which is to say you
would expect to succeed once in 36 rolls. What then is the probability
of randomly selecting the appropriate letters and spaces from a Scrabble
set to spell "THE THEORY OF EVOLUTION"? There are 26 different letters
and a space in the alphabet (total 27) and there is a total of 23 of
these letters and spaces in our sentence. The probability of spelling
this sentence without error by blindly drawing and replacing letters
from our 27 character set is calculated by multiplying 1/27 x 1/27 x
1/27 .... 23 times. The answer reveals that we would expect to spell
this simple sentence correctly by CHANCE approximately ONCE IN 8
HUNDRED MILLION, TRILLION, TRILLION draws!! If we drew and replaced
letters at the rate of a billion a second we would expect to succeed
once in 26 THOUSAND, TRILLION YEARS!! Now the simplest living organism
is so vastly more complex than our simple sentence, that we have no way
of really calculating its probability. If, however, we consider just
one one particular protein of average size (say 500 amino acids) from
among the thousands of proteins in a living organism, we can easily
calculate the probability of forming it by CHANCE. Proteins are made of
a tightly linked chain of amino acids. There are only 20 different amino
acids used in the proteins of ALL living organisms and they are arranged
in a linear sequence much like the letters of a long paragraph. Assuming
an inexhaustible supply of each of the 20 different amino acids, the
probability calculation would be 1/20 x 1/20 x 1/20 ... 500 times. The
number of possible combinations of the amino acids in this protein is 1
with over 600 zeros after it! Even if we were to begin with the proper
mixture of 500 amino acids to make our particular protein, we could
never get the correct sequence for them by CHANCE. Even if the entire
universe were packed tight with computers the size of electrons, each
trying a billion combinations of our 500 amino acids a second, we could
sample only an infinitesimally small fraction of all of the possible
combinations in 300 billion years! Even if every medium sized protein
molecule that ever existed on earth were ALL DIFFERENT, our vast "fleet"
of busy computers could not be expected to come up with the combination
of amino acids in ANY ONE OF THEM in a mere 300 billion years!! What
all this means is that if the whole of evolution were reduced to the
question of the probability of forming ANY ONE biologically useful
protein of average size, we could safely conclude that evolution would
be a VIRTUAL IMPOSSIBILITY by reason of the fact that there would be
INSUFFICIENT TIME AND MATTER IN THE UNIVERSE!!! Now calculate how much
faith it takes to believe in evolution.
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This occult propaganda and lies is from:
Missouri Association for Creation, Inc.
405 North Sappington Road
Saint Louis, Missouri 631224729
(314) 8211234
EMail Fredric L. Rice / The Skeptic Tank
