What if there were a conspiracy, and nobody knew about it? What if nobody could know about
From: The Bard, CULT_WATCH Echo
What if there were a conspiracy, and nobody knew about it? What if nobody
could know about it because the conspirators removed all evidence of its
existence? What if it was part of a sinister brotherhood that planned to
conquer the world and had the people to do it? What if they were planning
to do it tomorrow? What could be done to stop them; what could even be
done to discover their very existence?
There are certain organizational principles that successful conspiracies
tend to follow, and an understanding of these can help us to uncover that
which would ordinarily be un-uncoverable.
FIRST: because all evidence of the conspiracy's existence has been removed,
the -absence- of evidence is not -evidence of absence.- On the contrary,
because one can find evidence of virtually anything, whether it actually
exists or not, finding some evidence in and of itself proves nothing.
Since we know that the conspirators have removed all evidence of their
conspiracy, we must deduce the conspiracy's existence by looking for
conspicuous absence of any evidence of its existence. Having searched for,
but -not- found, evidence of a conspiracy, we must then logically conclude
that there -is,- in fact, a conspiracy, and further, that the conspirators
are extremely clever and therefore very dangerous.
SECOND: Conspiracies tend to have five members. This makes it difficult if
not impossible for an outsider to keep track of the conspiracy should it
somehow be discovered. This is how it works: Any conspiracy is composed of
members who communicate with every other person in the conspiracy, and thus
the conspiracy can be defined in terms of persons who communicate with each
other to a common end.
Persons within a conspiracy can form a subconspiracy with necessarily fewer
members. The number of possible combinations of subconspiracies within a
conspiracy increases with the size of the major conspiracy. For example, a
conspiracy of 2 has only one possible combination, and therefore no
subconspiracies; a conspiracy of 3 can have 3 subconspiracies of 2, a
conspiracy of 4 can have 6 subconspiracies of 2, three pairs of
subconspiracies of 2 and 4 subconspiracies of 3 for a total of 14 possible
combinations of (sub) conspiracies. For a conspiracy of 5, the number of
possible combinations is so great that it is not feasable for an outsider
to keep track of them all, thus affording a measure of security via
complexity. In a conspiracy of more than 5, the conspirators themselves
have trouble keeping track of all the possible combinations of
conspiracies, thus they tend to limit their numbers to 5.
THIRD: In addition to secrecy and complexity, another method of security is
It is an axiom among the intelligence community that the most secure, and
therefore the potentially most effective agent is one who does not know
that he is an agent.
The same is true for conspirators. If caught, they cannot reveal what they
do not know; yet the conspiracy is only dependent on what they do, not what
they know. Therefore, in a conspiracy that is observing proper security
measures, -none- of the conspirators would know that they are part of a
conspiracy, in order to confuse the enemy and avoid suspicion. Therefore,
whether or not a conspirator believes s/he is part of a conspiracy is not a
How do we identify the conspirators, having proved the existence of the
conspiracy by observing a total absence of evidence of its existence?
Since the conspirators are members of a larger organization, which
ulitmately runs the conspiracy, we must look for common factors among
members of our own organization that would tend to indicate that some of
our members are also members of some other organization that might be
plotting to take over the world.
Do some people give others secret handshakes?
Do some wear some sort of insignia?
Do some people make obscure jokes that seem only to be funny to a few
Do some seem to sit off in a group by themselves, talking about
Watch for these signs!
They are indicators of a group affiliation, and since we know that there is
a conspiracy within our organization, we must assume that this group that
some of our people are affiliated with is the organization that is behind
Remember: conspiracies usually have five members, although it would be just
like a conspiracy to have a different number, just to confuse us. But let
us start by assuming that they number five. First we must observe deviant
behaviors by groups within our group and make not of the individual
identities. We must then observe how these individuals interact, and with
whom, in order to establish patterns of conspiracies within the conspiracy.
And we must keep dossiers on all of these individuals so that we can keep
track of their activities and contacts.
We must be ever vigilant, lest we be drawn down and consumed by the
conspiracies for world domination. As foulness we shall know them; their
hand is at our throats. Their habitation is even one with our guarded
threshold. We rule now where they ruled once; they shall soon rule where
we rule now. After winter is summer, after summer, winter; they wait,
patient and potent, for tommorrow belongs to them.
E-Mail Fredric L. Rice / The Skeptic Tank